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2024-12-13 04:56:24
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The French CAC40 index rose by 1.00% in the day.Regulators continue to strengthen the prevention and control of insider trading in mergers and acquisitions to maintain the "three public" order in the capital market. Recently, the securities regulatory bureaus in Hunan and Zhejiang have issued several tickets for insider trading, which fully demonstrates the determination and attitude of the regulatory authorities to "zero tolerance" for illegal securities activities. Insider trading steals the profit opportunities that belong to the majority of investors by obtaining information in advance, which seriously undermines the market order of "three publics", encourages the atmosphere of asking for information and speculation, interferes with investors' value judgment, affects the market pricing function, and infringes on the legitimate rights and interests of investors. The Shanghai Stock Exchange learned that regulators are continuing to strengthen the prevention and control of insider trading in mergers and acquisitions to help maintain the normal functioning of market pricing functions.USD/JPY of USD/JPY hit 151, rising by 0.75% in the day.


The net inflow of 14 extra-large single shares exceeded 200 million yuan. According to data treasure, today, the net inflow of 14 extra-large single shares exceeded 200 million yuan, and the net inflow of Keli Sensing extra-large single shares was 669 million yuan, ranking first in the scale of net inflow funds; The net inflow of Sanfeng Smart Extra Large Orders was 626 million yuan, ranking second; The top net inflows are Fenda Technology, Vanadium and Titanium, and China Unicom. Among the extra-large single net outflow stocks, yongtai energy's extra-large single net outflow funds were 1.963 billion yuan, with the largest net outflow funds; The net outflow funds of Zhonggong Education and Oriental Fortune were 1.638 billion yuan and 1.470 billion yuan respectively, and the net outflow funds ranked second and third.Interpretation of the Political Bureau Meeting in December by CITIC Securities: It is estimated that the reverse repo rate will drop by 40-50bps next year, and the LPR and loan interest rates may drop even more. CITIC Securities Research Report pointed out that a new round of policy starting guns will be fired, and the policy inflection point will be reconfirmed, making it clear that the macro policy will be strengthened and effective in 2025. From the perspective of fiscal policy, the meeting called for the implementation of a "more active fiscal policy" and enriched the policy toolbox, which may indicate that in 2025, both deficit ratio in a narrow sense and deficit ratio in a broad sense will be significantly improved, and the focus of policy development is also expected to be marginal in the field of people's livelihood consumption. From the perspective of monetary policy, this Politburo meeting calls for the implementation of a moderately loose monetary policy. This is the first time that China has implemented a moderately loose monetary policy after 2010. It is estimated that the reverse repo rate will drop by 40-50bps next year, and the LPR and loan interest rates may drop even more. From the perspective of domestic demand policy, the statement of expanding domestic demand in an all-round way, especially "vigorously boosting consumption", exceeds market expectations. With the support of the existing policies coming into effect and the policy of increasing domestic demand, the improvement of domestic demand may have strong certainty and sustainability. In addition, in terms of structural policies, on the one hand, the meeting clearly stated that it is necessary to "stabilize the property market and the stock market", and the importance of the stock market continues to be highlighted, and real estate is still in the policy landing period; On the other hand, the meeting emphasized that "scientific and technological innovation leads the development of new quality productive forces", and new industries and future industries are expected to receive further policy support.VIVENDI shareholders approve the company split plan.


US stocks of China Stock Exchange and ETF soared at the beginning of the session, and China ETF rose more than 22% when it tripled its wealth.Jincai Internet: It is planned to establish a joint venture with Qingdao Zhongcai Fund. Jincai Internet announced that the company plans to sign a strategic cooperation agreement with Qingdao Zhongcai Fund to jointly establish a joint venture company Yidong Future Digital Intelligence Technology Co., Ltd. The registered capital of the joint venture company in the future is 170 million yuan, of which 138.14 million yuan is subscribed by Qingdao Zhongcai Fund in cash, accounting for 81.26% of the registered capital; The company subscribed for a capital contribution of 31.86 million yuan in the form of equity, that is, the capital contribution was 31.86 million yuan based on the appraisal of 100% equity of Fangxin Technology, accounting for 18.74% of the registered capital.Interpretation of Guangfa Strategy December Politburo Meeting: The change of policy tone "not seen for several years" is more direct to the determination to support the stability of the equity market and the real estate market. Guangfa Strategy Review December Politburo Meeting said that although the draft of the meeting did not involve specific economic target figures, the change of policy tone was "not seen for several years": (1) "Strengthening unconventional countercyclical adjustment" appeared for the first time in the draft of the conference, and we understand that this may well mean that the official target of deficit ratio will be unconventional. (2) "Moderately loose monetary policy" has reappeared since July 2010, and it has been "steady" during the period. Even in the 14-15 monetary easing cycle, there was no adjustment of this wording, which paved the way for the expectation of monetary easing in 25 years; (3) The "more active fiscal policy" has reappeared since July 2020. Under the special background of the 20-year epidemic, the official target of deficit ratio in that year was set at 3.6%, which was the highest since 2010. The change of tone after four years also indicates that the deficit space in 25 years is expected to be further opened. Specific to economic work, the first priority is to "expand domestic demand", and the expression of "stabilize the property market and stock market" is more straightforward: the importance of expanding domestic demand is unquestionable, which alleviates the concern of "whether to only resolve risks and lack demand stimulation" in the early stage of the market; In September, the Politburo meeting stated that the stock market should strive to boost the capital market and the property market should "promote the real estate market to stop falling and stabilize". This meeting was more direct in its determination to support the stability of the equity market and the real estate market.

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